A brand new Fox Information Ballot reveals Kamala Harris main Donald Trump 51%-48 within the vital battleground state of Georgia.
Harris receives 51% assist to Trump’s 48% amongst each registered and sure voters. Whereas her benefit could also be slim (contained in the margin of error), it’s regular. Final month, she was up 50-48% amongst registered voters.
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Extra Georgians see Harris because the candidate who will assist the center class and defend democracy by a 7-point margin on every. She can be seen because the candidate extra more likely to struggle “for folks such as you” by 6 factors. Harris’ largest lead is on dealing with the problem of abortion, the place she is favored by 18 factors. Trump’s largest lead is on dealing with immigration (+15 factors).
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The 2 candidates are rated extra carefully on bringing wanted change (Harris by 4 factors), making the nation secure (Trump +3), and dealing with the financial system (Trump +4). His benefit on the financial system at the moment is half what it was final month.
With the financial system rapidly bettering, Trump’s large lead has vanished on that situation, which is why he has leaned so onerous into immigration, which is the one situation the place he nonetheless has a transparent lead.
By no means learn too a lot into one ballot, however Harris victories in Georgia and North Carolina could be lights out for Trump. Pennsylvania wouldn’t matter to the end result, and Harris might even lose Arizona and would nonetheless win the election.
I’ve not been a bullish on Harris’s capability to flip North Carolina as some others, but when the Vice President had been to maintain Georgia blue, it might give her a path to the presidency even when she misplaced Pennsylvania, Arizona, and North Carolina.
The rationale why it’s higher to be Kamala Harris than Donald Trump proper now’s that she has extra paths to victory than Trump.
Trump’s principal path to victory is to hope that 2024 is a repeat of 2016 and he flips the Blue Wall. There may be zero present indication presently that we’re on the highway.
Donald Trump has a Georgia downside and it might value him the election
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