Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in three essential swing states, in response to a Monday ballot from the New York Occasions.
Trump is main Harris in Arizona by 5 factors in a 50%-45% unfold, and he holds the same 49%-45% lead in Georgia. Harris is nearer to the previous president in North Carolina, nonetheless, the place the race sits at 49%-47%, in response to the ballot.
The Occasions carried out its ballot from Sept. 17-21, surveying 2,077 seemingly voters throughout all three states.
Arizona and Georgia could be main victories for Trump within the basic election, as each are states that President Biden gained in 2020. Arizona particularly represents a significant swing towards Trump, the place a Occasions ballot in August discovered Harris main by 5 factors.
The Occasions survey comes days after a Fox Information nationwide ballot discovered Harris main Trump by two factors in a 50%-48% matchup.
The brand new Fox Information nationwide survey discovered a 3 percentage-point shift amongst registered voters within the 2024 presidential contest since mid-August. Trump had a 1-point benefit in August.
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Because the August survey, many occasions have occurred that might have an effect on voter opinion: the Democratic Nationwide Conference was held; Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump; former Vice President Dick Cheney and former Congresswoman Liz Cheney endorsed Harris; and the candidates confronted off in a debate. A second assassination try on Trump occurred about three-quarters of the best way into the brand new survey.
Many Republican pollsters are assured in Trump’s possibilities given the nationwide polling. Hillary Clinton beat Trump by two p.c within the nationwide vote in 2016, however misplaced within the Electoral School.
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“Our greatest estimates are that if Trump is inside 2 factors of Harris nationally then he’ll seemingly win within the Electoral School,” mentioned Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts Fox Information surveys with Democrat Chris Anderson. “These information displaying a Trump edge in the important thing counties and battleground states counsel that’s in all probability proper.”
Fox Information’ Dana Blanton contributed to this report.